The Systematic Use of Expert Judgment in Operations Research
ResearchPublished 1963
ResearchPublished 1963
A consideration of operations research as a science, though an inexact one. The operations analyst, as opposed to the pure scientist, emphasizes control rather than understanding. Judgment in constructing and applying operations-analytical models should be as expert and its application as systematic as possible. Improved methods of identifying and measuring expertness and of employing experts efficiently are needed. In particular, the use of groups of experts by consensus techniques, by the Delphi technique, and by simulation procedures and operational gaming should be further refined.
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