Cover: The Systematic Use of Expert Judgment in Operations Research

The Systematic Use of Expert Judgment in Operations Research

Published 1963

by Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg


Download Free Electronic Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.5 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback8 pages $20.00

A consideration of operations research as a science, though an inexact one. The operations analyst, as opposed to the pure scientist, emphasizes control rather than understanding. Judgment in constructing and applying operations-analytical models should be as expert and its application as systematic as possible. Improved methods of identifying and measuring expertness and of employing experts efficiently are needed. In particular, the use of groups of experts by consensus techniques, by the Delphi technique, and by simulation procedures and operational gaming should be further refined.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.