The Role of Project Histories in the Study of R&D.

by Thomas A. Marschak

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This paper illustrates the possibilities as well as the limitations of the project-history approach to testing conjectures about the nature of development. A number of histories are presented in each of several areas of military technology. The histories describe, with varying thoroughness, (1) the major uncertainties in the project's successive stages; (2) the commitments made at each stage; and (3) the size of the project's total effort and the technical advance achieved by the developed item.

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