State-of-the-art projection and long-range planning of applied research.

by Frederick S. Pardee

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Suggestion for a study to improve research appraisal. Although it may lead to a genuine scientific breakthrough, most research consists of evolutionary extrapolation, and refinement and application of existing technology to new objectives. This paper is directed toward phases subsequent to basic research and before the development of major weapon systems. Relating this to defense budget categories, it covers primarily the exploratory development and, to some extent, advanced and engineering development areas. 24 pp. Bibliog.

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