New Developments in Early Forecasting of Public Problems

A New Intellectual Climate

by Olaf Helmer-Hirschberg

Download

Download Free Electronic Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.5 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback10 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

A report of philosophical, pragmatic, and methodological changes in world attitude toward the future — all favoring positive long-range planning. The second computer revolution is leading to true man-machine symbiosis. The social sciences are turning to an interdisciplinary systems approach to the solution of sociopolitical problems, using mathematical models, simulation procedures, and a systematic approach to the utilization of expert opinions. To arrive at a positive payoff for all requires reasonable expectation that cooperative moves will meet with a cooperative response. The revolutionary reorientation in the social sciences gives hope that in the next generation this attitude will extend into the uncivilized area of international relations. (Prepared for presentation at a Public Affairs Perspective conference under National Industrial Conference Board auspices, April 1967, New York.)

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.