Quantifying the Demand for Education in Architecture and Planning in California.

by Michael Carpenter

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Discussion of methods used to project total enrollments in both architecture and planning to estimate future needs of graduate architects. Total enrollments in architecture and related curricula (except for planning) have decreased since 1949 with respect to enrollments in higher education in general. Current improvements in curricula and specialization suggest that the falling trend may be checked in the next few years. Projections to 1980 reflect this possibility, by taking the percentage of the total (not full-time) enrollment in the United States and allocating 15 percent of this to California. With respect to planning, two methods are used to project total enrollments. The first is comparable to that used for architecture projections; the second method fits a straight line to the data on total enrollments, again assuming that California enrolls 15 percent. Conservative estimates for 1975 and 1980, respectively, are 3200 and 3450 students for architecture, 480 and 590 for planning. 20 pp. Ref.

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