A discussion of methods for the systematic exploration of political feasibility concerning policy-oriented predictions. Political feasibility is defined in three interdependent ways: (1) an actor's ability to influence and implement policies, (2) a probability distribution in respect to each policy-alternative, and (3) a range of "time-sensitive" policy alternatives. Among the variables that shape political feasibility are the capacities and intentions of the main actors; public opinion and other related pressures; actor-interaction; and rules of the field, subject to change by variables external to the analysis. From these preliminaries, three schemes are developed that utilize the Delphi method to provide the policymaker with tools for dealing with time spans, probabilities, and various combinations of conditions and assumptions that might arise in predicting political feasibility.
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