Economic Prospects of the Republic of Vietnam

by Timothy Hallinan

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A sharply critical appraisal of [The] [Postwar Development of the Republic of] [Vietnam: Policies and Programs], a recent study of prospects for a non-Communist South Vietnam, and the U.S. role in its development. The work was written by the AID-funded Joint Development Group: a University of Saigon/Development and Resources Corporation of New York joint effort. An essentially optimistic argument fails to convince for lack of established planning techniques and a failure to foresee the difficulties of economic advancement in a framework of continuing political and social conflict, surely to continue to absorb U.S. and GVN efforts and resources for years to come. Among other things, Hallinan questions South Vietnamese capacity to rapidly generate agricultural surpluses for export, noting that the authors' conclusions may have prompted them to accept a "substantially higher rate of economic advancement for the whole economy than a more sophisticated reading of the data would allow."

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