Cover: The Decline of Fertility and Child Mortality in Central East Pakistan.

The Decline of Fertility and Child Mortality in Central East Pakistan.

Published 1971

by T. P. Schultz

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A detailed analysis of survey data collected in 1961-1962 for a sample of 4200 families in central East Pakistan produced consistent and reasonable estimates of birth and death rates for the preceding decade. Extremely high levels of infant and child mortality declined noticeably in the period 1952-1961. Age-specific birth rates to married women also decreased in the decade for women over the age of 19, while a small increase was recorded for married women aged 15 to 19. During the 1950s total marital fertility, which is the sum of the cross-sectional age-specific marital birth rates, declined about one-fifth. Birth rates in central East Pakistan remained high in 1960 according to these estimates, but there is reason to anticipate further reductions in birth rates, particularly among older women. Much attention is given to methodological problems associated with the sampling procedures and the problems of interview. Promising techniques are being developed to structure retrospective interviews. 29 pp. Bibliog.

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