Cover: The Border Negotiations and the Future of Sino-Soviet-American Relations

The Border Negotiations and the Future of Sino-Soviet-American Relations

Published 1971

by Thomas W. Robinson

Download

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 2.3 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback53 pages $23.00

Soviet and Chinese strategies during the period of border incidents in 1969, and in the era of border negotiations that followed, are described and analyzed as a preliminary to a discussion of alternatives open to both states given failure or incomplete success of the talks. Three nonsuccessful negotiations outcomes are considered and linked to three Chinese and four Soviet options, in terms both of probabilities of outcomes and strategies for minimizing dangers and maximizing opportunities of each. Next, longer-term (i.e., beyond six months after a given negotiations outcome) implications of each outcome are taken up, followed by their implications for American global and Far Eastern policy. In particular, the "stalemate" option, Sino-Soviet war, and negotiated settlement with rapprochement are discussed. Finally, details of some policy implications for the United States are considered.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.