Considerations for a Sequential Housing Allowance Demand Experiment.

Carl N. Morris

Expert InsightsPublished 1972

An argument favoring a sequential experiment design over a predetermined sample size in the approach to HUD's plan to test the effects on households of various housing allowance schemes. An informal sequential approach can be expected to be more cost effective, because at each of its several stages, the data collected are analyzed; the results are evaluated against policy requirements and are used to refine the specifications for the next stage. Among these specifications is a revised sample size, each time determined optimistically, hence, cost-conservatively. Then if the sample size turns out to be sufficient, further expense is avoided; if not, the additional sampling would cost no more than the fixed-sample approach. Starting with small samples also permits starting early, generally offsetting some or all of the extra calendar time this type of experiment requires. 20 pp.

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Morris, Carl N., Considerations for a Sequential Housing Allowance Demand Experiment. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1972. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P4859.html.
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