A Probabilistic Procedure for Sizing Detention Facilities.

by Richard G. Salter

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Describes a procedure that incorporates the simultaneous use of present day variations and of future projection uncertainties in computing a probabilistically stated inmate population projection for a planned detention facility. The development of the input density functions is described and an example is included. The use of the unique properties of a probabilistic projection in developing decision criteria is demonstrated. The procedure can easily be adapted to a number of other problems of assessing future capacity requirements or work loads. 12 pp.

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