Sources of Instability in Developing Countries.

by Guy J. Pauker

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback13 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

Transcribed text of an unwritten National War College lecture, suggesting that we stop looking for quantifiable indicators of potential revolution or insurgency, because govenments topple when the people feel that the rulers have lost their legitimate authority, and the reasons for this feeling are not quantifiable. Even governments that rule by violent repression depend on at least the passive acceptance of the masses, and are in trouble when they lose the confidence of the people constituting the power mechanism. Revolutions occur when the people withdraw their acceptance, a process akin to falling out of love. We have no indicators and no theories to explain when the breaking point will occur in any particular case; Pakistan lasted for 20 years in an obviously unstable form. What we regard as heartless exploitation may be accepted quietly for generations, until the landlords or the rulers overstep some invisible boundary. It is hard to see how the United States can or should exert a stabilizing influence. 13 pp.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.