The Policy Effects Analysis Method: A System Dynamics Simulation Study of the Defense Fuel Supply System.

by Jessica Steele

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback16 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

Presents the PEA method of evaluating the effects of policies and events that influence energy usage, supply, and management, and applies it to the military's aviation fuel (Avfuel) supply system. The method is designed for temporary changes that would not cause a major redesign of the military's Avfuel management system. The basic approach is to analyze the possible effects of a given policy or event on fuel availability, the desired rate of consumption, delivery delays, and ordering requirements; express them quantitatively; and use them as inputs to drive a computer simulation. The results of example simulation experiments are presented. The method might be extended to any economic good consumed by the military. (Presented at ORSA Conference, San Diego, November 1973.) 16 pp. Ref.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.