Communist China's Population Problem in the 1980s.

by K. C. Yeh, C. Lee


Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback30 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

Communist China's great effort to promote birth control in the last decade reflects its leaders' concern over population growth. Not even the Communists themselves know what the current population size is. So there is much uncertainty about even the base population from which projections are made. However, the future population depends as much on the current size as on the future growth rate. If an abrupt spurt in population did take place in the 1950s, its initial effects on the age composition might produce in the 1980s a large group in the marriageable age. The age composition and the fertility rate of the new families would be beyond the control of the Party. In this event, the race between production and reproduction would be much greater than the Communists had anticipated. Whether economic growth will be hampered depends on the rate of technological advance, particularly in agriculture. 30 pp. Ref.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.