Computers in the 1980s: Trends in Hardware Technology.
ResearchPublished 1974
ResearchPublished 1974
A technological forecast of computer hardware trends in the 1975 to 1990 time period. Projected are the improvements in switching speed, power consumption, and cost and physical size of bipolar and metal-oxide semiconductor logic circuits. Based on these, the computing speed of processors for several computer architectures are forecast--uniprocessors, pipeline processors, array processors, associative array processors, and for command-control, multiprocessors. The storage capacity and access time improvements are projected for semiconductor random-access memories, and summarized for other solid-state memory component technologies. The paper concludes with a discussion of innovations in computer system design and use which become feasible due to the expected hardware developments. 19 pp. Ref.
This publication is part of the RAND paper series. The paper series was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.
RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.