Cover: Guiding Urban Growth: Policy Issues and Demographic Constraints.

Guiding Urban Growth: Policy Issues and Demographic Constraints.

Published 1974

by Peter A. Morrison

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback16 pages $20.00

Growth policy proposals frequently take a simplistic view of how urban growth works, compounded by an exaggerated sense of what policy has in its power to do. Policymakers fail to perceive the full momentum of demographic change that could be guided and underestimate the force of demographic constraints on their intended actions. This paper considers five aspects of the migration process related to these points: (1) concentration of migratory growth in a few metropolitan areas; (2) migration's apparently one-sided economic wisdom due to economic "push"; (3) potential for return migration; (4) widely varying rate of migratory circulation among metropolitan areas; and (5) intensifying phenomenon of urban population decline, now a characteristic of entire metropolitan areas, not merely their central cities. The selectivity of migration, in terms of both people and places, becomes a more imposing influence on urbanization as the role of natural increase as a source of urban growth diminishes. 16 pp.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.