Possibilities and Probabilities in Assessment of the Hazards of the Importation of Liquefied Natural Gas

by David L. Jaquette

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Release of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from controlled containment whether by accident, sabotage, or act of war, presents a number of unique safety hazards. There are at least four main research areas that must be addressed in developing estimates of the risk to population and property from importing large quantities of LNG. Here we examine the available research approaches directed toward one of these, the assessment of the possible release scenarios and in particular their associated probabilities. Criticism on certain of the assumptions and results made by some of the previous work in this area is discussed and because much of the work available to date is insufficient and incomplete in assessing the risks, the character and need for more research is discussed.

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