Cover: The Current Demographic Context of National Growth and Development.

The Current Demographic Context of National Growth and Development.

by Peter A. Morrison

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Reviews the emergent demographic trends of population decline throughout metropolitan areas and population growth in nonmetropolitan areas. This reversal of previous trends confronts older suburbs with a need to adapt to decline, which in some places will mean adapting the local tax structure to declining or at least stationary property values and sales tax revenues, excess capacity of schools and other capital stock, and changes in population mix that increasingly leave the metropolitan area with the problems of the elderly, the handicapped, and the disadvantaged. Meanwhile, nonmetropolitan jurisdictions will experience problems of growth for which they are ill-equipped and which their residents may seriously oppose. Issues of access are likely to intensify. The President's biennial Report on National Growth and Development could help either by recommending a coherent program, or by avoiding advocacy and presenting a purely factual and diagnostic approach. The latter course, exemplified in the annual Manpower Report of the President, is recommended. (Prepared at the request of the House of Representatives Subcommittee on Housing and Community Development.)

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