Welfare Policy Research for New York City: Findings on the Dynamics of Dependency.

David W. Lyon, C. Peter Rydell, Mark D. Menchik

ResearchPublished 1975

Research on welfare dependency was motivated by the problem of predicting caseloads and analyzing duration and frequency of dependency. This required a model of case flows using aggregate time-series data that incorporated normal movement of cases in and out of dependency, and administrative and economic factors that caused sharp changes in caseload levels. A compilation of case histories from 1967-1972 made it evident that almost two-thirds of monthly welfare support goes to cases continuously on welfare for three or more years. The analysis of half-lives of welfare cases indicate the group receiving ADC for two and more children had a half-life no longer than 2.5 years, and other groups have shorter half-lives. Thus the idea of a permanent welfare population is not accurate. Based on the data available, it seems that welfare cases become increasingly dependent on welfare the longer they stay on welfare. 32 pp. Ref.

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  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1975
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 32
  • Paperback Price: $20.00
  • Document Number: P-5566

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RAND Style Manual
Lyon, David W., C. Peter Rydell, and Mark D. Menchik, Welfare Policy Research for New York City: Findings on the Dynamics of Dependency. RAND Corporation, P-5566, 1975. As of September 5, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P5566.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Lyon, David W., C. Peter Rydell, and Mark D. Menchik, Welfare Policy Research for New York City: Findings on the Dynamics of Dependency. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1975. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P5566.html. Also available in print form.
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