Cover: Welfare Policy Research for New York City: Findings on the Dynamics of Dependency.

Welfare Policy Research for New York City: Findings on the Dynamics of Dependency.

Published 1975

by David W. Lyon, C. Peter Rydell, Mark D. Menchik

Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback32 pages $20.00

Research on welfare dependency was motivated by the problem of predicting caseloads and analyzing duration and frequency of dependency. This required a model of case flows using aggregate time-series data that incorporated normal movement of cases in and out of dependency, and administrative and economic factors that caused sharp changes in caseload levels. A compilation of case histories from 1967-1972 made it evident that almost two-thirds of monthly welfare support goes to cases continuously on welfare for three or more years. The analysis of half-lives of welfare cases indicate the group receiving ADC for two and more children had a half-life no longer than 2.5 years, and other groups have shorter half-lives. Thus the idea of a permanent welfare population is not accurate. Based on the data available, it seems that welfare cases become increasingly dependent on welfare the longer they stay on welfare. 32 pp. Ref.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.