Estimating Residential Electricity Demand Under Declining-Block Tariffs

An Econometric Study Using Micro-Data

Jan Paul Acton, Bridger M. Mitchell, Ragnhild Sohlberg

ResearchPublished 1978

Declining-block rates for electricity may cause bias in empirical investigations of demand because the marginal price per unit of electricity is not constant. This study was able to measure the marginal price faced by households, control for eight major appliances, and take account of weather variations by adopting a disaggregated approach to estimating demand equations. It is based on micro-level data for 3825 geographic areas in Los Angeles County. Own price elasticities of demand range from -.35 in two-year pooled samples of cross-sections to -.70 in cross sections for a single billing period. Income elasticities of demand are found to be approximately .40. Natural gas is found to have a cross-price elasticity of .75 to .90. In the long run, changes in major variables will alter the stock of appliances as well as utilization patterns and result in larger elasticities than estimated by this study. These improved empirical estimates permit richer and more accurate policy analysis of rate changes.

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  • Availability: Available
  • Year: 1978
  • Print Format: Paperback
  • Paperback Pages: 27
  • Paperback Price: $20.00
  • Document Number: P-6203

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RAND Style Manual
Acton, Jan Paul, Bridger M. Mitchell, and Ragnhild Sohlberg, Estimating Residential Electricity Demand Under Declining-Block Tariffs: An Econometric Study Using Micro-Data, RAND Corporation, P-6203, 1978. As of September 25, 2024: https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P6203.html
Chicago Manual of Style
Acton, Jan Paul, Bridger M. Mitchell, and Ragnhild Sohlberg, Estimating Residential Electricity Demand Under Declining-Block Tariffs: An Econometric Study Using Micro-Data. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1978. https://www.rand.org/pubs/papers/P6203.html. Also available in print form.
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