Speculations concerning the new political era brought about by China's full diplomatic relations with the United States and peace treaty with Japan. The pronounced change in China's concerns dates from the onset of Soviet military pressure in the 1960s. Chinese military doctrine, so long cast in the tenets of "people's war," has shifted to "people's war under modern conditions." The critical impetus that moved the U.S.-Chinese ties forward was "shared concerns" over the Soviet military power. But it is too early to predict if this will lead to unrealistic Chinese expectations about the meaning of a U.S. tie. Chinese leadership has yet to make clear the dominant assumptions underlying their new relationships and the West has yet to clarify the extent of Chinese access to advanced defense technology. The American need to balance this relationship against the ongoing stake in dealing with Moscow is likely to prove difficult.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.
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