CIA estimates of Soviet military expenditure

by Abraham S. Becker

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Focuses on the public debate over the size and growth of Soviet military expenditure and the estimates of these indicators made by the CIA. The subject is surrounded by controversy because of Soviet secrecy, CIA's reluctance to disclose sensitive sources and methods, technical complexities, and the political sensitivity of the results, which have an important casual bearing on U.S. military outlays. In this context, the paper makes a number of judgments on the validity of the CIA estimates and major current concerns.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

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