Models in the Policy Process:

Past, Present, and Future

by Warren Walker


Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback28 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

This paper examines the use of models in public sector decisionmaking through the present time and speculates upon their use in the future. It discusses the reasons why the policy applications of modeling have generally fallen short of expectations. It then discusses recent trends in performing a policy study, noting in particular an increase in the interaction between analysts and policymakers and a broadening of scope in (1) application areas, (2) the level of policymaker who is the client for the analysis, (3) the range of performance measures considered, and (4) the academic disciplines represented on the study team. Finally it foresees the confluence of several independent developments leading to a dramatic increase in the future use of models in the policy process. In particular, changes in technology, managerial procedures, and fiscal conditions are likely to lead to the widespread use of decision support systems in the public sector.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.