The primacy of economics for the future of the horn of Africa

by Paul B. Henze


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This paper, prepared for a conference on The Horn of Africa--Its Political and Economic Future, held at the University of London, November 1991, deals with problems and possibilities in Ethiopia and Eritrea. It also touches briefly on the situations in Sudan and Somalia. According to the author, Ethiopia has successfully overthrown Marxist rule, and both the Transitional Government of Ethiopia and the Provisional Government of Eritrea are experimenting with free market policies that facilitate economic recovery. They must, however, find a basis for political and economic cooperation. The outlook for Sudan and Somalia remains bleak.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

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