A Washington view of world order

by Marten van Heuven

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback7 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

This paper presents the English version of the author's remarks in Dutch at the International Conference of the Peace Policy Foundation. It examines the theme of world order over a ten-year time span. The author does this from a Washington perspective and in the context of the issue of security. Focusing on conclusions rather than analysis, the author predicts future scenarios. According to the author, the world will remain a competitive, contentious, and at times dangerous place during the coming decade. The gap in the world economy is likely to widen, leading to increasing claims on limited resources and sharp competition. With the breakup of the Soviet Union, two models of security relations will predominate: a growing community of democratic states settling their differences peacefully according to agreed procedures, and individual countries pursuing national goals in zero-sum competition with their neighbors. Security policy will become demilitarized to include issues of the environment, nuclear safety, drugs, terrorism, poverty, migration, and disease. The United States, still a leader but no longer a superpower, will turn its energies to domestic reconstruction, but will not withdraw from the world.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Paper series. The paper was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

Our mission to help improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis is enabled through our core values of quality and objectivity and our unwavering commitment to the highest level of integrity and ethical behavior. To help ensure our research and analysis are rigorous, objective, and nonpartisan, we subject our research publications to a robust and exacting quality-assurance process; avoid both the appearance and reality of financial and other conflicts of interest through staff training, project screening, and a policy of mandatory disclosure; and pursue transparency in our research engagements through our commitment to the open publication of our research findings and recommendations, disclosure of the source of funding of published research, and policies to ensure intellectual independence. For more information, visit www.rand.org/about/principles.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.