Disequilibrium and Variation in Birth Rates Over Space and Time: A Study of Taiwan.

by T. P. Schultz

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An examination of change in age-specific birth rates in several hundred small communities in Taiwan from 1964 to 1969. The objective of the study was to obtain more information on the dynamic nature of a model of fertility variation, disequilibria, and change that can make sense of population problems and policy options common to many low-income countries. Information on individual reproductive behavior over time was also considered, since most models of fertility determination presuppose a relation between fertility and the number of living children parents have and their immediate and lifetime circumstances. Two methods are proposed for extracting information about the dynamic process of birth-rate determination from an integrated treatment of a time series of aggregate cross-sections. 79 pp. Ref.

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