Cover: A Review of Cost Estimation in New Technologies

A Review of Cost Estimation in New Technologies

Implications for Energy Process Plants

Published 1979

by Edward W. Merrow, Stephen W. Chapel, Christopher Worthing


Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 4.3 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback117 pages $35.00

Reviews literature on cost-estimation errors in weapons acquisition by the Department of Defense and in large public works and construction projects, and analyzes cost-estimation practices in the chemical and process industries. The report inquires into the causes of large estimation errors found in energy process plants, e.g., coal gasification and liquefaction, oil shale, and tar sands. Principal factors in estimation errors common to all types of systems examined include the degree of system definition when the estimates were made, scope and system changes, and the level of technological innovation embodied in the system. The results of this review have formed part of the basis for an empirical investigation of cost-estimation errors and performance problems in new process plants for the Department of Energy.

This report is part of the RAND report series. The report was a product of RAND from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.