Linking Uncertain Energy and Environmental Models

Executive Summary

David Leinweber, Ray Squitieri

ResearchPublished 1980

Summarizes the results of a RAND study of models used to support policy decisions. This work focuses specifically on energy and environmental issues, but the methods and conclusions are applicable to any field characterized by poor data quality and high degrees of uncertainty. The study clearly shows that in many policy models the uncertainties, which are usually unreported, overwhelm the reported results. What initially appears to be a problem, or an answer to a problem, is often just statistical noise.

Document Details

  • Copyright: RAND Corporation
  • Availability: Web Only
  • Year: 1980
  • Pages: 47
  • Document Number: R-2609/1-DOE/RC

Citation

Chicago Manual of Style

Leinweber, David and Ray Squitieri, Linking Uncertain Energy and Environmental Models: Executive Summary. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1980. https://www.rand.org/pubs/reports/R2609z1.html.
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