Full Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 5.2 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

An econometric model of reenlistment decisions for Army National Guardsmen is developed using data collected from 2,876 surveys. The surveys were administered to Guardsmen with less than eight years of service who were making a reenlistment decision during 1978. The results of the model shows that a 10 percent increase in reserve pay would bring only a 2 percent increase in reenlistment rates. Since almost all Guardsmen are moonlighters, higher civilian job wage levels and hours worked bring lower reenlistment rates. Demographic composition and education level significantly affect reenlistment rates. Other things equal, women, blacks, and those who do not complete high school have higher reenlistment rates than their counterparts. Overall, the model predicts that reenlistment rates will more than double after 1978, thanks to a favorable demographic composition and the absence of draft motivated reservists.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.