Quality-Based Analysis Capability for National Youth Surveys

Development, Application, and Implications for Policy

by Bruce R. Orvis, Martin T. Gahart

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This report develops and applies a method of using the information contained in national youth surveys to estimate the probability that respondents would score at or above the 50th percentile (categories I-IIIA) on the Armed Forces Qualification Test. The method can be applied for a variety of purposes, e.g., to estimate and compare results for high-aptitude vs. low-aptitude respondents or to explore findings of interest for high-quality youths. It is possible to compare the estimated responses of high-aptitude and low-aptitude youths for factors such as background characteristics, enlistment propensity, future plans, recruiter contacts, and awareness of military advertising and enlistment incentives, and to examine the interrelationships among these factors. The method also provides a means of estimating the proportion of high-aptitude youths in the surveyed population as a whole or in subgroups of special interest.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

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