Understanding the Evolving U.S. Role in Pacific Rim Security

A Scenario-Based Analysis

by John Y. Schrader, James A. Winnefeld


Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 6.5 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback116 pages $35.00 $28.00 20% Web Discount

This analysis considered a range of possible conflict scenarios across the Asia-Pacific region to examine the role U.S. forces might be expected to play. The scenarios ranged from civil war to major regional conflict. Several alternative postures (basing structures and force levels) were considered based on 25% and 50% reductions in U.S. defense spending (from 1990 levels). The ability of U.S. forces to provide presence, to reduce the likelihood of conflict, and to provide warfighting capability was examined for each scenario and force posture. Policy alternatives, forward basing, increased prepositioning, and overseas homeporting were examined as alternatives to reduce the impact of force posture changes. Although the postulated reductions seemed extreme when the analysis began, the levels studied are now consistent with planned downsizing activities, and the policy issues raised in the study are particularly relevant for the mid-1990s.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Report series. The report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1993 that represented the principal publication documenting and transmitting RAND's major research findings and final research.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.