An Experiment in Estimation.
A proposed experiment to appraise the predicting reliability of available personnel. Two supplementary experiments are suggested: one to study the effect of group size; the second, the effect of additional information.
Helmer-Hirschberg, Olaf, An Experiment in Estimation. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1947. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM10.html. Also available in print form.
Helmer-Hirschberg, Olaf, An Experiment in Estimation. RAND Corporation, RM-10-PR, 1947. As of December 7, 2023: https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM10.html