Dependence of East Germany on Western imports.

by Horst Mendershausen

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An attempt to determine the impact of a Western trade embargo against East Germany and the Soviet Bloc, an event that might be provoked by Soviet-backed East German measures against Berlin. The study discusses both the dependence of East Germany on trade with the West and the vulnerability of East Germany to allied economic countermeasures. The impact of such an embargo may depend in part on the forcefulness of Western responses in political and military fields in which economic countermeasures do not serve as substitutes. The outcome of a Bloc-wide embargo is dubious and must be weighed against the political difficulties of bringing it about.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Research memorandum series. The Research Memorandum was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1973 that represented working papers meant to report current results of RAND research to appropriate audiences.

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