Metropolitan populations to 1985 : trial projections

by Ira S. Lowry

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A summary of results of two series of demographic trial projections covering each of the 52 largest standard metropolitan statistical areas (SMSA's) in the United States. For each SMSA, the 1960 population is divided into 60 components (age, by sex and color). On the basis of explicit and detailed assumptions (outlined in appendixes) as to birth, death, and migration, the size of each component is estimated at five-year intervals, from 1960 to 1985. Results are compared to national projections prepared by the Bureau of the Census, and to SMSA projections prepared by various local agencies.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Research memorandum series. The Research Memorandum was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1948 to 1973 that represented working papers meant to report current results of RAND research to appropriate audiences.

This research in the public interest was supported by RAND, using discretionary funds made possible by the generosity of RAND's donors, the fees earned on client-funded research, and independent research and development (IR&D) funds provided by the Department of Defense.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.