An Adaptive Method of Test Selection in System Development.

N. H. Hakansson

ResearchPublished 1967

Experience indicates that the major source of uncertainty in weapon system development can be traced to activities involving testing and redesign, yet surprisingly little of a conceptual nature has been done to improve the decisionmaking process involved in performing these activities. An adaptive model of the testing process is constructed that is designed to provide the project director and his staff with a means for determining the best test to perform at a given stage in the development of a system and to enable the same decisionmakers to choose intelligently among the available redesign actions once the test results are known. Although the model is presented in terms of relatively simple systems and tests, it should be capable of handling those of a highly complex nature. 60 pp. Ref.

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Hakansson, N. H., An Adaptive Method of Test Selection in System Development. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 1967. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_memoranda/RM5238.html.
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