New Methods for Identifying Robust Long-Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California

David G. Groves

ResearchPublished Jan 30, 2006

Ensuring sufficient, high-quality water supplies for California over the next several decades will be a great challenge for water resource managers. Choosing an appropriate management response using standard methods will be extremely difficult and contentious because the scope and magnitude of these impacts are highly uncertain and stakeholders have diverse views about desirable outcomes. This dissertation first documents the development and use of a model to generate quantitative scenarios of future water demand in California. It next describes a new analytic method for decisionmaking under deep uncertainty called Robust Decision Making (RDM). To demonstrate how RDM can be a valuable analytic tool for California long-term water planning, the dissertation applies the methodology to a stylized representation of the water supply and demand management challenge facing Southern California.

Topics

Document Details

Citation

Chicago Manual of Style

Groves, David G., New Methods for Identifying Robust Long-Term Water Resources Management Strategies for California. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2006. https://www.rand.org/pubs/rgs_dissertations/RGSD196.html.
BibTeX RIS

Research conducted by

Financial support for this dissertation was provided by the Rothenberg Family and the National Science Foundation.

This publication is part of the RAND dissertation series. Dissertations are written by Ph.D. candidates at the RAND School of Public Policy and supervised, reviewed, and approved by a RAND School faculty committee overseeing each dissertation. The RAND School is the world's leading producer of Ph.D.'s in policy analysis.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit www.rand.org/pubs/permissions.

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.