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Venezuela

Venezuela

RAND has analyzed Venezuela's political instability, economic collapse, and humanitarian crisis, focusing on implications for regional security and U.S. policy. Research explores migration patterns, governance challenges, and potential strategies for international engagement.

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19 Results

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Commentary

Feb 3, 2026

Venezuela After Maduro: Q&A with RAND Experts

Many questions remain one month after the dramatic U.S. operation that captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. How will sudden change reshape Venezuela's future? What are the regional impacts? And how might the U.S.-Venezuela relationship evolve?
Commentary

Jan 29, 2026

China Could Play Spoiler in Venezuela's Debt Restructuring

Venezuela's external liabilities likely exceed $150 billion. Absent a credible debt restructuring, sanctions relief and higher oil output will not translate into durable stabilization or sustained investment. And China's oil-backed loans give it leverage to delay a comprehensive debt restructuring.
Research

Apr 10, 2025

Exploring the Strategic Potential of Expanded Security Cooperation Support to American Irregular Warfare

The authors explore the value proposition of expanded security cooperation support for irregular warfare in preventing and countering the coercive and malign activities of adversary nation states that target U.S. frontline allies and partners.
Commentary

Apr 1, 2025

Hezbollah's Network on America's Southern Doorstep

Hezbollah's presence in Latin America rarely captures headlines. But this oversight may prove increasingly costly as the organization adapts its regional strategy amid mounting financial and structural pressures. The implications for U.S. homeland security warrant consideration.
Expert Insights

Mar 31, 2025

Hezbollah's Networks in Latin America: Potential Implications for U.S. Policy and Research

This author explores Hezbollah's operational footprint in Latin America — focusing on illicit funding mechanisms, violent operations, and key operational hubs — and situates it within Iran's regional diplomatic, economic, and cultural activities.
Commentary

Aug 22, 2024

It's Time to Designate Venezuela as a State Sponsor of Terrorism

In light of the ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict, the strengthened Tehran-Hezbollah-Caracas axis now presents a major security threat for the Latin American and Caribbean region. The U.S. government should designate Venezuela as a state sponsor of terrorism and crack down on its brazen violation of international law.
Research

May 27, 2020

Russia's Limit of Advance: Scenarios

Russia's ability to deploy military forces around the world is significantly depleted from the Soviet era. This report describes the strengths and weaknesses of Russia's ground force deployment capacity.
Article

Dec 23, 2019

Most Popular RAND Blog Commentary of 2019

Terrorism. The humanitarian crisis at the border. How to engage friends and foes on the world stage. Here are the top 10 commentaries that readers engaged with most on The RAND Blog in 2019.
Commentary

Jun 24, 2019

Preparing for a Venezuela After Maduro

If it becomes evident that Maduro isn't about to fall, then the Trump administration should revisit its sanctions and rescind those that weigh most heavily on the Venezuelan people, while targeting and isolating the regime.
Commentary

Feb 14, 2019

Russia Chooses Paupers as Partners, with Questionable Benefit

By leveraging the efficiencies of globalization and cultivating ties with prosperous partners, Russia could increase its economic potential and improve living standards for its people. And by engaging more positively with the world, it could gain influence in the forums that matter, such as the G20 and multilateral institutions.
Commentary

Feb 11, 2019

Hezbollah Is in Venezuela to Stay

Whatever the benefits of replacing the current Venezuelan regime with Washington's preferred alternative, Juan Guaidó, there's reason to doubt that it would change the country's problematic relationship with Hezbollah. Hezbollah is well-entrenched in Venezuela, where it has established a vast infrastructure for its criminal activities.
Commentary

Jan 8, 2019

In Venezuela, a Potential U.S.-Russian Crisis?

In December, two supersonic nuclear-capable Russian bombers visited Venezuela, the third such excursion for the warplanes since 2008. Might Moscow intend to pose a threat, perhaps even nuclear, to the Western Hemisphere? If so, how could Washington respond?

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