Ryan Bauer

Ryan Bauer
Defense Analyst
Santa Monica Office


M.A. in security studies, Georgetown University; B.A. in political science, CSU Poly (Pomona)


Ryan Bauer is a defense analyst at RAND. His research interests include homeland security, information operations and messaging, and Russian security issues. Previously, Bauer worked as an analyst at CNA, where he conducted research for a number of projects relating to homeland security and emergency preparedness. Bauer holds a master's degree in Security Studies from Georgetown University's Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service, and bachelor's degree in Political Science from Cal Poly Pomona.

Selected Publications

Parachini, John V., Ryan Bauer, and Peter A. Wilson, Impact of the U.S. and Allied Sanction Regimes on Russian Arms Sales, RAND Corporation (RR-A1341-1), 2021

Joshua Tallis, Ryan Bauer, Lauren Frey, "ISIL’S Battlefield Tactics and the Implications for Homeland Security and Preparedness," Journal of Terrorism Research, 8(3), 2017

Ryan Bauer, "Russia’s Soft Power Development in the 21st Century," Small Wars Journal, 2016


  • Russia

    How Russia's War in Ukraine Has Impacted Its Christian Image

    Over the past decade, the Russian government has taken pains to present itself as a bastion of Christianity and traditional values. Since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, however, there have been noticeable cracks in the receptivity to this messaging strategy.

    Nov 16, 2022

    The Moscow Times

  • Africa

    What Does Africa Need Most Now: Russian Arms Sales or Good Vaccines?

    Why is Russia's main export to Africa advanced conventional weapons at a time when other needs are so great? African leaders might think twice about aggressive Russian arms pitches and engagement of mercenaries, and prioritize measures to stem the COVID-19 pandemic and encourage economic growth.

    Nov 17, 2021


  • Russia

    Sanctions Targeting Russia's Defense Sector: Will They Influence Its Behavior?

    In response to recent Russian cyber espionage, interference in U.S. elections, and the poisoning of opposition leader Alexei Navalny, President Biden announced a new round of sanctions and expulsions of Russian officials. But will these sanctions hurt Russia's defense industry enough to curb the Kremlin's behavior?

    May 20, 2021


  • Fighter Aircraft

    Russia's Su-57 Heavy Fighter Bomber: Is It Really a Fifth-Generation Aircraft?

    Russia's Su-57 aircraft has been in development since 2002 and is considered a key part of Russia's arms export industry as a fifth-generation fighter. Despite continued Russian efforts to sell the aircraft, it is unlikely that a fully developed and full production–ready Su-57 will be available for sale before the late 2020s.

    Aug 17, 2020

    The RAND Blog