Could U.S. Weapons Assistance to Ukraine Lead to Russian Escalation?

commentary

(New York Times)

Ukrainian troops using advanced U.S. M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) to attack Russian targets near Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, July 4,2022, photo by Armed Forces of Ukraine/Cover Im via Reuters Connect

Ukrainian troops using advanced U.S. M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) to attack Russian targets near Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine, July 4,2022

Photo by Armed Forces of Ukraine/Cover Im via Reuters Connect

by Samuel Charap and Jeremy Shapiro

August 1, 2022

In the five months since Russia launched its war in Ukraine, the United States has pledged about $24 billion in military aid to Ukraine. That's more than four times Ukraine's 2021 defense budget. America's partners in Europe and beyond have pledged an additional $12 billion, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy.…

The remainder of this commentary is available at nytimes.com.


Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation. Jeremy Shapiro is research director at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

This commentary originally appeared on New York Times on July 27, 2022. Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis.