TikTok Is a Threat to National Security, but Not for the Reason You Think

commentary

Aug 14, 2024

The TikTok logo on a phone, illustration by CFOTO/Sipa USA via Reuters

Illustration by CFOTO/Sipa USA via Reuters

By Nate Lavoy

Some 170 million Americans use TikTok, and many of them will be incredibly upset if they lose access to their favorite social media app. Earlier this year, the government enacted a law forcing the company to divest its U.S. operations or face a ban, and congressional phone lines were overwhelmed due to the sheer volume of calls in protest of the legislation. The discourse surrounding the national security implications of the app overlooks a critical threat—an unprecedented corpus of videos ideal for training advanced deepfake-generating AI systems. In the face of lukewarm public opinion about the ban and the inevitable legal action, it is essential that U.S. lawmakers understand and emphasize this risk.

In early 2024, a Hong Kong-based employee at a British engineering company transferred over $25 million to foreign accounts after receiving oral authorization from his CFO in a few routine Zoom meetings. This would have been standard procedure, except that the CFO, and all the other employees on the calls, were impersonations created by scammers using artificial intelligence (AI).

“Deepfake” scams of this magnitude are still rare, and a keen eye can usually differentiate AI-generated videos from reality. News outlets were quick to expose a deepfake of President Biden used to discourage voting in New Hampshire and a deepfake of State Department spokesman Matthew Miller stating that a Russian city was a legitimate target for Ukraine's use of U.S. weapons.

As AI systems rapidly scale, however, these fabrications are increasingly hard to distinguish. In the not-too-distant future, eyes and ears may no longer be reliable sensors of truth. It is easy to imagine the national security implications of an adversary artificially generating videos of Americans doing and saying anything they please.

It is easy to imagine the national security implications of an adversary artificially generating videos of Americans doing and saying anything they please.

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To curb foreign development of these and other dangerous AI capabilities, the government controls exports of semiconductors, the physical underpinning of AI. Equal emphasis, however, should be placed on cross-border transfers of large datasets, or bulk data, the fuel for generative AI systems. This means reexamining foreign controlled data-aggregation platforms, especially TikTok.

The U.S. government has raised several objections to TikTok's data collection practices, mainly focused on American users' sensitive personal information. TikTok has responded to these concerns by creating Project Texas, an initiative to store “protected U.S. user data” such as emails, birthdays, and behavioral data on U.S.-based Oracle servers.

Safeguarding this kind of data is important, but equally significant national security risks emerge from the flood of publicly posted videos. TikTok assures that “U.S. users of the TikTok platform can still communicate and interact with global users for a cohesive global experience.” This is the problem. The videos that users post publicly are not subject to Project Texas restrictions and can still end up on foreign servers.

Most of the individual videos that Americans post on social media platforms are harmless at face value, but the 34 million videos posted daily on TikTok become ideal training material for massive generative AI models. These models will be able to create astonishingly convincing deepfakes and could be used to launch discreet, large-scale, and highly targeted influence operations. This is not an abstract future threat. Policymakers need to understand that in the age of generative AI, bulk audiovisual data can be more valuable than the birthdays and email addresses users use to sign up for apps like TikTok.

Chinese actors have already used generative AI to spread disinformation. They have also used TikTok to spread anti-American propaganda within the United States. TikTok itself releases monthly lists of uncovered covert influence operations on the app, and they showed that in May 2024 a network with hundreds of thousands of followers “operated from China and targeted a US audience. The individuals behind this network created inauthentic accounts in order to artificially amplify narratives that the US is corrupt and unsafe.”

TikTok encourages users to post vertical videos with a 9:16 aspect ratio. This uniformity in structure, along with the diverse content of the posts, makes them perfect for training deep learning models. In addition, the dynamic watermarking that TikTok adds to all uploaded videos makes it difficult (PDF) for other actors to scrape these videos for AI training purposes, meaning TikTok, and by extension its parent company ByteDance, essentially have sole access to the training material.

ByteDance is no stranger to creating large-scale generative AI systems. They are responsible for one of China's most advanced large language models, MegaScale. This infrastructure, combined with exclusive access to an increasingly massive body of audiovisual information of Americans engaging in a vast array of activities, provides the resources to make some of the most advanced deepfakes in the world. This poses a grave threat to U.S. national security.

On April 24th, 2024, after several failed attempts (PDF) to ban or divest TikTok's operations in the United States, President Biden signed into law the “21st Century Peace through Strength Act.” The bill imposes new sanctions on Russia and Iran, but also includes a section prohibiting “foreign adversary controlled applications” in the United States. Under the law, ByteDance must sell the TikTok platform to an American buyer by January 2025 or face a full ban. Failure to comply would result in a fine of $5,000 per U.S. user, totaling almost $1 trillion. In response, TikTok is suing (PDF) the government on First Amendment grounds and urging its millions of users to protest the legislation. It is unclear how the lawsuit will play out, but the conversation should consider all the national security threats the app poses. Mass collection of bulk training data for deepfake systems is not currently part of the dialogue, and it needs to be at the forefront. Even if the TikTok ban is deemed constitutional, there are no laws banning the sale of bulk audiovisual data overseas.

The potential for extensive audiovisual data collection to facilitate advanced deepfake creation is a compelling and urgent reason to scrutinize foreign-controlled apps like TikTok.

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Social media platforms are now seen as essential for self-expression and the spread of ideas and knowledge, but there are multiple American-owned alternatives to TikTok that can be an outlet for the same speech. Instagram, Facebook, and YouTube all support short-form vertical videos, and more platforms are following suit. The issue with TikTok is not what is said on the app; it is the pipeline of training data to countries of concern.

Significant national security risks not apparent at the granular level can emerge from bulk data. The potential for extensive audiovisual data collection to facilitate advanced deepfake creation is a compelling and urgent reason to scrutinize foreign-controlled apps like TikTok. America's adversaries' toolkit has evolved, and so must its risk analysis. Amid tepid public opinion on the ban and the impending legal challenges, the government must recognize and stress this angle. Global information flows are important, but en masse, data can be used as fuel for dangerous generative systems.

Even if China lost access to the corpus of TikTok data, they could still potentially use American AI platforms for nefarious purposes. Both Russia and China have already used ChatGPT to generate malicious content. However, companies like OpenAI and Meta are subject to American regulations.

In July 2024, Congress introduced a bill (PDF) that would force domestic generative AI companies to watermark their models' AI-generated content. This would limit adversaries' ability to effectively use American models for nefarious purposes, because the generated outputs would be permanently marked as such and therefore would be hard to pass off as reality. Chinese-made models, on the other hand, will not be restricted by these rules. The bulk data supplied by TikTok will streamline China's creation of them.

The United States must continue to stay ahead of the emerging threats posed by generative AI and the data it is trained on, or more Americans will be stung by deepfakes. The consequences could be much graver than the illicit transfer of foreign funds.

More About This Commentary

Nate Lavoy is a summer associate at RAND, a nonprofit, nonpartisan think tank. He is pursuing a master's degree in computer science at New York University.

Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis.