In its planning, the Department of Defense needs to assure development of a number of important campaign-level building-block capabilities, one of which is the capability — even with short warning and complications such as reduced access or air defenses — to stop an invading army quickly and as far forward as possible to avoid significant losses of territory and damage to the defending nation, and to reduce the military and political difficulty of subsequent counteroffensives. There are many possible ways to achieve such a capability. This study describes a prototype high-level "exploratory analysis" of the halt-phase problem, one that considers a very wide range of operational circumstances and a diversity of forces with an emphasis on precision fires from aircraft, ground-force missiles, and naval missiles. The work described was accomplished with a simple spread-sheet model, an experimental design involving many tens of thousands of cases to survey a "scenario space," and RAND's Data View system for examining results of an exploratory analysis.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Documented briefing series. RAND documented briefings are based on research presented to a client, sponsor, or targeted audience in briefing format. Additional information is provided in the documented briefing in the form of the written narration accompanying the briefing charts. All RAND documented briefings undergo rigorous peer review to ensure that they meet high standards for research quality and objectivity. However, they are not expected to be comprehensive and may present preliminary findings. Major research findings are published in the monograph series; supporting or preliminary research is published in the technical report series.
Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.