Paul K. Davis

Paul K. Davis

Adjunct Principal Researcher; Professor of Policy Analysis, RAND School of Public Policy

Paul K. Davis is a retired senior principal researcher and adjunct at RAND and a professor of policy analysis at the RAND School of Public Policy. His research interests include strategic planning; decisionmaking theory; deterrence theory; advanced methods of analysis under uncertainty; analysis under uncertainty; modeling, simulation, and gaming. He has authored or coauthored books and papers on defense planning, capabilities-based planning, portfolio analysis, deterrence and influence, social science for counterterrorism, social-behavioral modeling for complex systems, and multiresolution modeling. Before joining RAND, he was a senior executive in the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). He has served on numerous national panels for DoD, the National Academy, and the intelligence community. He is also a regular reviewer of several professional journals. Davis received his Ph.D. in theoretical chemical physics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He received his undergraduate degree from the University of Michigan.

Education

Ph.D. in chemical physics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; B.S. in chemistry, University of Michigan

Selected Work

  • Davis, Paul K., Angela O'Mahony, Christian Curriden, and Jonathan Lamb, Influencing Adversary States: Quelling Perfect Storms, RAND Corporation (RR-A161-1), 2021
  • Paul K. Davis, Angela O'Mahony, and Jonathan Pfautz (eds.), Social Behavioral Modeling for Complex Systems, Wiley & Sons, 2019
  • Davis, Paul K., Analysis to Inform Defense Planning Despite Austerity, RAND Corporation (RR-482-OSD), 2014
  • Davis, Paul K., Angela O'Mahony, A Computational Model of Public Support for Insurgency and Terrorism: A Prototype for More-General Social-Science Modeling, RAND Corporation (TR-1220-OSD), 2013
  • Paul K. Davis and Kim Cragin, Social Science for Counterterrorism: Putting the Pieces Together, RAND Corporation (MG-849), 2009
  • Davis, Paul K., Russell D. Shaver, and Justin Beck, Portfolio-Analysis Methods for Assessing Capability Options, RAND Corporation (MG-662-OSD), 2008
  • Paul K. Davis and Brian Michael Jenkins, Deterrence and Influence in Counterterrorism, RAND Corporation (MR-1619), 2002
  • RAND, New Challenges for Defense Planning: Rethinking How Much Is Enough, RAND Corporation (MR-400-RC), 1994

Authored by Paul K. Davis

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