Game-Structured Analysis as a Framework for Defense Planning

by Paul K. Davis

Download

Full Document

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 1.6 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

Purchase

Purchase Print Copy

 FormatList Price Price
Add to Cart Paperback30 pages $20.00 $16.00 20% Web Discount

The debate about NATO's defense options has been exacerbated by the lack of a coherent analytic framework. This paper argues that NATO defense planning should make use of conceptual structures akin to global political-military war gaming. For game-structured analysis to be effective, models must be unequivocally strategic in perspective, flexible enough to address a vast range of questions, transparent enough to establish credibility, and interactive enough for non-modeler-analysts to use the models directly. Finally, assumptions in the aggregated strategic-level models must be related to insights gained from empirical experience and detailed studies. This paper describes recent progress on many of these issues in the RAND Strategy Assessment Center, and it proposes a cross-national cross-cultural effort to develop an improved analytic framework that could be used throughout the NATO community.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation note series. The note was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1979 to 1993 that reported other outputs of sponsored research for general distribution.

This research in the public interest was supported by RAND, using discretionary funds made possible by the generosity of RAND's donors, the fees earned on client-funded research, and independent research and development (IR&D) funds provided by the Department of Defense.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.