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The Department of Defense’s modeling and simulation (M&S) should help find strategies that are flexible, adaptive, and robust; M&S should also deal well with complex warfare. Current M&S need to be augmented with a family-of-tools approach that includes human war gaming, man-in-the-loop simulations, simplified models and exploratory analysis, and high-resolution work on selected issues. Investment priorities should include integrative reviews to improve the base of knowledge, as well as a number of specific methods such as agent-based modeling and methods for representing network-centric operations.
Table of Contents
Chapter One
Introduction
Chapter Two
Policymaker Concerns
Chapter Three
Dealing with Uncertainty and Risk
Chapter Four
Families of M&S Tools
Chapter Five
A New Business Model
Chapter Six
Conclusions and Investment Recommendations
Appendix A
“Analysis Practices Working Group,” March 14-16, 2006
Appendix B
“Methods Working Group,” June 26-27, 2006
Appendix C
Illustrative Contrast of Questions for Analysis from the Previous Era and Today
Research conducted by
The research described in this report was prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD). The research was conducted in the RAND National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center sponsored by the OSD, the Joint Staff, the Unified Combatant Commands, the Department of the Navy, the Marine Corps, the defense agencies, and the defense Intelligence Community.
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