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Modeling and Simulation

Researchers frequently require a quantitative understanding of the likely consequences of different actions before they can advise decisionmakers and design effective policies. RAND develops and uses statistical, econometric, and other exploratory models and simulations to analyze the potential outcomes of different policies in a range of areas such as transportation usage, health care, patient safety, and military campaigns.

Report

Report

South East Wales Transport Model: Frequency model results

This report documents the methodology and estimation results of the frequency model components of the South East Wales Transport Model (SEWTM).

Sep 13, 2018
Report

Report

South East Wales Transport Model: Demand model implementation

This report documents the implementation of the demand models that form part of the South East Wales Transport Model (SEWTM).

Sep 13, 2018
Report

Report

South East Wales Transport Model: Mode-destination model estimation

This report documents how a model transfer approach has been used to develop the mode-destination models that form part of the South East Wales Transport Model (SEWTM).

Sep 13, 2018
Report

Report

China Belt and Road Initiative: Measuring the impact of improving transportation connectivity on trade in the region

Using both qualitative and quantitative analysis, this study found improving transportation multimodal connectivity has a positive impact on multilateral trade across countries and regions along China Belt and Road Initiative.

Aug 21, 2018
Research Brief

Research Brief

China Belt and Road Initiative: How revival of the silk road could impact world trade

By using both qualitative and quantitative analysis, this study found improving transportation multimodal connectivity has a positive impact on multilateral trade across countries and regions along China Belt and Road Initiative.

Aug 21, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

Current and Future Demographics of the Veteran Population, 2014-2024

We estimate that the U.S. veteran population will shrink over the next decade - declining from 21.6 million in 2014 to 17.5 million by 2024, a 19-percent decrease.

Aug 17, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

The Long-Term Economic Impact of Criminalization in American Childhoods

In this article, I document some salient and disturbing trends concerning the interaction of American youth with the criminal justice system based on a module I recently added to the PSID.

Aug 17, 2018
Content

A Brief History of RAND

RAND was incorporated as a nonprofit corporation in 1948. From its early years to the present, RAND research is characterized by its objectivity and nonpartisanship, its quality and scientific rigor, and its dedication to improving policymaking on the most pressing issues of the day.

Aug 3, 2018
Tool

A Manual for Cultural Analysis

Many academic disciplines have formally theorized culture as socially learned information that can influence beliefs and behaviors. This tool combines methods from anthropology and related areas to create a manual to examine cultural data.

Jul 9, 2018
Report

Improving U.S. Force Development

The U.S. armed forces are larger than needed to fight a single major war. But at the same time, the military is failing to keep pace with adversaries and is poorly postured to meet key challenges in Europe and East Asia. How can the Department of Defense respond?

Jul 9, 2018
Journal Article

Computational Modeling of the Jamaica Bay System

For Jamaica Bay, and other coastal areas being studied for resilience capacity, we need not only models that are published and in the public domain, but mechanisms to generate scenarios that address resilience from various perspectives.

Jun 28, 2018
Tool

Tool

A Wargame Method for Assessing Risk and Resilience of Military Command-and-Control Organizations

Guide to conducting a command-and-control (C2) risk and resilience tabletop exercise, a new wargaming method of assessing metrics for C2 structures in terms of risks from adversary efforts or the operational environment and resilience to those risks.

Jun 21, 2018
Commentary

What If Autonomous Vehicles Actually Make Us More Dependent on Cars?

Cities across Europe are taking steps to become increasingly car free. Mayors, supported by their officials and planners, should start leading a debate now about how self-driving vehicles can best serve the needs of residents and visitors, and help deliver wider goals for their cities.

Jun 19, 2018
Report

The Russian Challenge: Deterring Aggression in the Baltics

The risk of Russian aggression in the Baltics can no longer be ignored. To successfully deter Moscow, the United States and its European allies should invest in NATO's ability to defend its eastern boundary.

Jun 4, 2018
Report

Report

Priority Challenges for Social and Behavioral Research and Its Modeling

Social-behavioral modeling is famously hard. This report examines shortcomings and obstacles -- some inherent to complex adaptive systems broadly and some due to current methods and practices -- then discusses steps that deserve priority attention.

Apr 16, 2018
Commentary

Congestion Tolls Work in London and Stockholm—Why Not Seattle?

Seattle is considering following in the footsteps of London, Stockholm, Singapore, and Milan to introduce a charge for driving on the city's roads. What can Seattle and its residents learn from other cities that have implemented road user charging?

Apr 12, 2018
Dissertation

Dissertation

Using the National Training Center Instrumentation System to Aid Simulation-Based Acquisition

This dissertation uses the National Training Center instrumentation system to aid simulation-based acquisition.

Mar 22, 2018
Report

Report

Quantifying travellers' willingness to pay for the Harbour Tunnel in Copenhagen: A stated choice study

This study uses a stated choice experiment to quantify travellers' willingness to pay for a tolled tunnel in Copenhagen. Discrete choice models are used to quantify travellers' value of travel time savings.

Mar 20, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

How Can We Model Travel Frequency? A Critical Review of Current Practice

The paper should assist the transport modellers and policy makers in choosing appropriate trip frequency modelling tools which best suit their problem.

Mar 20, 2018
Journal Article

Journal Article

Individual Survival Curves Comparing Subjective and Observed Mortality Risks

Data on Health and Retirement study respondents' expected life span and actual mortality shows that some demographic groups tend to be overly pessimistic about how long they'll live, which could lead to under-saving for retirement.

Mar 13, 2018

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RAND Topic:
Modeling and Simulation

Topic Synonyms:
Mathematical Modeling;
Modelling

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