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Modeling and Simulation

Researchers frequently require a quantitative understanding of the likely consequences of different actions before they can advise decisionmakers and design effective policies. RAND develops and uses statistical, econometric, and other exploratory models and simulations to analyze the potential outcomes of different policies in a range of areas such as transportation usage, health care, patient safety, and military campaigns.

Commentary

Adding Shots on Target: Wargaming Beyond the Game

Figuring out what the future may look like—and what concepts and technology we should invest in now to prepare—is hard. How can the wargaming community build a cycle of research to help understand what these paths might be?

Oct 9, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Subjective Mortality Risk and Bequests

The results of this paper show a strong empirical relevance of subjective survival curves, indicating the importance to take into consideration of this dimension of individual heterogeneity in life cycle models.

Oct 6, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

A Synthetic Estimator for the Efficacy of Clinical Trials with All-Or-Nothing Compliance

Synthetic estimation is a promising approach when patient noncompliance is affecting a clinical trial.

Sep 26, 2017
Tool

Tool

Propensity Scores for Repeated Treatments: A Tutorial for the iptw Function in the TWANG Package

This tutorial describes the use of the TWANG package in R to estimate inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTWs) when one has time varying treatments or sequences of treatments over time.

Sep 14, 2017
Report

The Blended Retirement System: Retention Effects and Continuation Pay Cost Estimates for the Armed Services

This report assesses the effects of the Blended Retirement System on military retention and continuation pay cost for the Air Force, Army, Coast Guard, Marine Corps, and Navy and finds that retention can be sustained relative to the legacy system.

Aug 15, 2017
Tool

Tool

Assessing Impact to Inform Decisions: A Toolkit on Measures for Policymakers

This toolkit provides a very brief overview of how to identify concepts that should be measured by policymakers, how to evaluate measures, and how to identify new measures that can contribute to better-informed decisions, plans, and assessments.

Jul 25, 2017
Report

Report

Quantifying Cost and Schedule Uncertainty for Major Defense Acquisition Programs (MDAPs)

To help the Air Force better anticipate cost and schedule challenges and manage programs, this study developed a methodology to evaluate the likelihood of cost growth and schedule slip for major defense acquisition projects (MDAPs).

Jul 17, 2017
Commentary

Finding the Common Ground: Building a Brexit Around Trade and Single Market Access

The priority for the UK government during Brexit negotiations should be access to the single market and free trade deals with countries outside the EU. This would build on the common ground felt by the majority of Britons about what they feel are the most valuable aspects of the UK's future relationship with Europe.

Jul 14, 2017
Commentary

Brexit: So Tell Me What You Want, What You Really Really Want

The 'In/Out' referendum question encouraged the view that Brexit was a binary choice. But how did people understand these two options and their implications? The results of stated preference discrete choice experiments hold the answer.

Jul 14, 2017
News Release

News Release

British Public Reject “No Deal” on Brexit

The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the EU. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one.

Jul 14, 2017
Journal Article

British Public Rejects “No Deal” on Brexit

The British people disagree with the claim that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain” when it comes to negotiations for leaving the European Union. They want a deal on Brexit and are willing to compromise to get one.

Jul 13, 2017
Report

Report

What sort of Brexit do the British people want? A proof-of-concept study using stated preference discrete choice experiments: Technical addendum

A proof-of-concept study using stated preference discrete choice experiments to quantify the British people's preferences for their relationship with the European Union after Brexit.

Jul 13, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Predictions Put Into Practice: A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of Chicago's Predictive Policing Pilot

In order to better understand the effects of an individual-focused predictive policing program in the field, this study analyzes a pilot program implemented in Chicago in 2013 aimed at reducing gun violence.

Jul 6, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

A Framework for Synthetic Control Methods With High-Dimensional, Micro-Level Data: Evaluating a Neighborhood-Specific Crime Intervention

Our study illustrates the advantages of using high-dimensional, micro-level data in the context of synthetic control methods.

Jun 30, 2017
Multimedia

Gaming Solutions to Global Problems

In this Call with the Experts, David Shlapak, a senior international research analyst at RAND, talks about how serious games can help find solutions to global problems.

Jun 8, 2017
Report

Report

Serious Analytical Gaming: The 360° Game for Multidimensional Analysis of Complex Problems

This report is intended to help decisionmakers who would like to design and run a 360° Game, which can be used in multidimensional analysis of complex problems and allows participants to investigate a problem from a variety of perspectives.

May 30, 2017
News Release

News Release

News Release for RAND Report on U.S. Child Welfare Reforms

The report on the U.S. child welfare system described in RAND's May 23, 2017 news release has been withdrawn pending further review.

May 23, 2017
Tool

Tool

Propensity Scores for Multiple Treatments: A Tutorial on the MNPS Command for Stata Users

This tutorial explains the syntax and features related to the implementation of the MNPS commands in the Stata TWANG series.

May 5, 2017
Commentary

Let's (Not) Play Games with Dodd-Frank

Dodd-Frank, the 2010 financial reform law, is now itself the target of reform. Those involved with the overhaul could draw inspiration from an unlikely source: video games. A simulation game could help predict the effects of changes to regulations—and avoid high-stakes missteps.

May 4, 2017
Journal Article

Journal Article

Introduction to Medical Care Statistical Workshops for Health Services Research: Practical, State-of-the-Art Reviews

This is the introduction to a new series of statistical workshops that are practical and state of the art.

May 4, 2017

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RAND Topic:
Modeling and Simulation

Topic Synonyms:
Mathematical Modeling;
Modelling

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