Cover: National Security Planning in an Era of Uncertainty

National Security Planning in an Era of Uncertainty

Published 1989

by Paul K. Davis


Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.9 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.


Purchase Print Copy

 Format Price
Add to Cart Paperback30 pages $20.00

This paper was developed for a conference, Conventional Forces and Arms Control: Technology and Strategy in a Changing World, organized by the Center for National Security Studies at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, and held September 25-26, 1989. The author describes an approach to national security strategy that begins by characterizing the future environment in terms of a core part and surrounding uncertainties. He then describes a strategy with three components: a core strategy, an environment-shaping strategy, and a hedging strategy. He thus gives an idea of at least one way the United States may wish to plan in a period of great change and uncertainty.

This report is part of the RAND paper series. The paper was a product of RAND from 1948 to 2003 that captured speeches, memorials, and derivative research, usually prepared on authors' own time and meant to be the scholarly or scientific contribution of individual authors to their professional fields. Papers were less formal than reports and did not require rigorous peer review.

This document and trademark(s) contained herein are protected by law. This representation of RAND intellectual property is provided for noncommercial use only. Unauthorized posting of this publication online is prohibited; linking directly to this product page is encouraged. Permission is required from RAND to reproduce, or reuse in another form, any of its research documents for commercial purposes. For information on reprint and reuse permissions, please visit

RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.