The papers reprinted here originated in an effort to illustrate concretely how modeling and analysis could be used to help inform efforts by the Department of Defense to understand and evaluate advanced concepts and define critical issues worthy of experimentation. A core element of the approach is that analysis should use "families" of models and war games. For their prototype problem, the authors chose interdicting and halting an invading army through use of long-range precision fires delivered from aircraft and sea-based or air-based missiles. The first paper describes the concept of exploratory analysis, which seeks to gain a broad understanding of a problem domain before going into details for particular cases. Here, suitable low-resolution models are needed. The second paper describes how the authors informed and calibrated their low-resolution models by drawing on higher-resolution information, including results of simulation experiments, to generate data that could be analyzed in depth as though they were empirical in nature. The third paper provides an overview of how the different levels and styles of modeling relate to each other, and what lessons the authors have learned from such activities.
Originally published in: Proceedings of the 2000 Winter Simulation Conference, Jeffrey A. Joines, Russell R. Barton, K. Kang, and Paul A. Fishwick, eds., December 2000 and Proceedings of the SPIE, v. 4026, 2000.
This report is part of the RAND Corporation Reprint series. The Reprint was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1992 to 2011 that represented previously published journal articles, book chapters, and reports with the permission of the publisher. RAND reprints were formally reviewed in accordance with the publisher's editorial policy and compliant with RAND's rigorous quality assurance standards for quality and objectivity. For select current RAND journal articles, see External Publications.
Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.
The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.