Toward Theory for Dissuasion (or Deterrence) by Denial

Using Simple Cognitive Models of the Adversary to Inform Strategy

by Paul K. Davis

Download eBook for Free

FormatFile SizeNotes
PDF file 0.3 MB

Use Adobe Acrobat Reader version 10 or higher for the best experience.

This Working Paper grew out a conference paper presented at the Munk School of the University of Toronto, October 18-20, 2013. The conference, Deterrence by Denial: Theory, Practice, and Empiricism, was co-organized by the Munk School of Global Affairs and the Center for Security Studies, ETH Zurich. It included a number of international scholars from a broad range of university and research institutions. This Working Paper extends the author's conference paper and is intended to invite informal peer review before it is completed it at a later date.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One


  • Chapter Two

    A Simple Model for Cases of Limited Rationality

  • Chapter Three

    Is the Defense Worth the Candle?

  • Chapter Four


This research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Security Research Division (NSRD). NSRD conducts research and analysis on defense and national security topics for the U.S. and allied defense, foreign policy, homeland security, and intelligence communities and foundations and other non-governmental organizations that support defense and national security analysis.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Working paper series. RAND working papers are intended to share researchers' latest findings and to solicit informal peer review. They have been approved for circulation by RAND but may not have been formally edited or peer reviewed.

Permission is given to duplicate this electronic document for personal use only, as long as it is unaltered and complete. Copies may not be duplicated for commercial purposes. Unauthorized posting of RAND PDFs to a non-RAND Web site is prohibited. RAND PDFs are protected under copyright law. For information on reprint and linking permissions, please visit the RAND Permissions page.

The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND's publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors.