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Earthquakes, Hurricanes, and Terrorism
Sep 28, 2011
Earthquakes, Hurricanes, and Terrorism
Do Natural Disasters Incite Terror?
Published in: Public Choice, v. 149, nos. 3-4, Special Issue, Dec. 2011, p. 383-403
Posted on RAND.org on December 01, 2011
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Access further information on this document at www.springerlink.comThis article was published outside of RAND. The full text of the article can be found at the link above.
A novel and important issue in contemporary security policy is the impact of natural disasters on terrorism. Natural disasters can strain a society and its government, creating vulnerabilities which terrorist groups might exploit. Using a structured methodology and detailed data on terrorism, disasters, and other relevant controls for 167 countries between 1970 and 2007, we find a strong positive impact of disaster-related deaths on subsequent terrorism incidence and fatalities. Furthermore, the effects differ by disaster type and GDP per capita. The results consistently are significant and robust across a multitude of disaster and terrorism measures for a diverse set of model specifications.
Access further information on this document at www.springerlink.com
This article was published outside of RAND. The full text of the article can be found at the link above.
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