The Air Force Pilot Shortage

A Crisis for Operational Units?

by William W. Taylor, Craig Moore, Charles Robert Roll, Jr.

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The United States Air Force is facing the largest peacetime pilot shortage in its history. This report examines the origin and nature of the shortage along with retention issues, and shows that the real problem is experience levels in operational units. It includes insight gained from RAND's participation in the Rated Management Task Force (RMTF) convened by the Air Force Chief of Staff to define and study these issues.

Table of Contents

  • Chapter One

    The Pilot Shortage

  • Chapter Two

    Experience Levels in Operation Units: The Real Issue

  • Chapter Three

    Controlling Experience Levels

  • Chapter Four

    Conclusions

  • Appendix A

    A Brief Overview of RAND's Operational Unit Training Model

  • Appendix B

    Derivation of Formulas Used in Low-Experience Examples

Research conducted by

This research was sponsored by RAND's Project Air Force.

This report is part of the RAND Corporation Monograph report series. The monograph/report was a product of the RAND Corporation from 1993 to 2003. RAND monograph/reports presented major research findings that addressed the challenges facing the public and private sectors. They included executive summaries, technical documentation, and synthesis pieces.

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